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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • James Cook has posted a massive 1.0 air yards per game this year: 83rd percentile among RBs. (That might not seem like very many, but most RBs average negative air yards considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage).
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (35.0) versus running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.
  • James Cook has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).
  • James Cook's 6.9 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a meaningful regression in his receiving ability over last year's 8.6 rate.
  • This year, the strong Baltimore Ravens defense has given up a puny 79.6% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 6th-best rate in the NFL.

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