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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -123.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to air yards, James Cook ranks in the lofty 82nd percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a superb 1.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs average negative air yards).
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Broncos defense has been torched for the 3rd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (37.0) versus RBs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).
  • James Cook has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (27.0).
  • James Cook's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, accumulating a measly 6.94 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.58 figure last year.

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