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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (67.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bills.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

James Cook's 48.0% Route Participation Rate this year shows a significant improvement in his air attack volume over last year's 19.1% figure.

When talking about air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 99th percentile among running backs this year, accumulating a staggering 8.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards).

When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

More James Cook Player Props

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