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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buffalo Bills to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-highest frequency among all teams this week.

James Cook's 45.6% Route% this season conveys a significant improvement in his passing offense usage over last season's 19.1% figure.

In this contest, James Cook is forecasted by the model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.4 targets.

When talking about air yards, James Cook grades out in the towering 96th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a massive 4.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more remarkable than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 32.0 per game) this year.

The Chiefs defense has yielded the fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 20.0) to RBs this year.

The Chiefs pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, surrendering 4.79 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the league.

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