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James Cook

James Cook Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

 
 
 
James Cook Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Bills to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 68.0% pass rate.
  • James Cook has run more routes this year (48.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (19.1%).
  • The predictive model expects James Cook to notch 2.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • James Cook has posted a colossal 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among RBs. (This might not seem like a lot, but most RBs wind up with negative air yards as a result of being targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 55.6 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game against the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, New York's collection of LBs has been great this year, profiling as the best in football.

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