James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-117/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
After comprising 19.1% of his offense's carries last season, James Cook has played a bigger part in the running game this season, currently making up 52.2%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Bills have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 56.0 plays per game.
The Bills O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Miami's collection of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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