James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-127/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects James Cook to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (46.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (21.0% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 6th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 30.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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