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James Cook

James Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-134/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bills, who are favored by 3 points.
  • In this week's contest, James Cook is projected by our trusted projection set to slot into the 76th percentile among running backs with 14.6 rush attempts.
  • James Cook has been much more involved in his offense's ground game this season (50.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (19.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 36.6% run rate.
  • To the extent of a defense's influence on pace, at 28.47 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most sluggish in the league (in a neutral context) right now.
  • In regards to executing run-blocking assignments (and the impact it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the 3rd-best safety corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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