James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-123/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
After accounting for 19.1% of his team's rushing play calls last year, James Cook has played a bigger part in the running game this year, currently comprising 48.4%.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Bills to be the 2nd-least run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 33.0% run rate.
When talking about executing run-blocking assignments (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL last year.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Dallas's DE corps has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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