James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Buffalo Bills · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

James Cook has been a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this year (50.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (19.1%).

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bills to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
In terms of a defense's influence on pace, at 29.17 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Bills to be the most sluggish in football (context-neutralized) at the present time.
When talking about run-blocking (and the importance it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-worst in football last year.
The Philadelphia defensive tackles rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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