James Cook Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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James Cook

NFL · Player Props

James Cook

RB · Buffalo Bills

Carries

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:31 AM UTC

Analysis

James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The model projects James Cook to garner 12.4 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
After taking on 19.1% of his offense's rush attempts last season, James Cook has played a bigger part in the run game this season, currently comprising 50.5%.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 32.0% run rate.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 55.6 per game on average).
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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