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James Cook

James Cook Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

 
 
 
James Cook Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bills, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The model projects James Cook to garner 12.4 carries in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among RBs.
  • After taking on 19.1% of his offense's rush attempts last season, James Cook has played a bigger part in the run game this season, currently comprising 50.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bills to be the 4th-least run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 32.0% run rate.
  • The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been run by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 55.6 per game on average).
  • The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at executing run-blocking assingments.
  • The New York Jets linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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