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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 7th-most run-centric team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The leading projections forecast James Conner to accumulate 18.0 carries in this game, on balance, putting him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

Out of all running backs, James Conner grades out in the 93rd percentile for carries this year, making up 63.4% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

With a fantastic total of 3.61 yards after contact (86th percentile), James Conner places among the toughest RBs in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a -5-point underdog in this week's game.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Cardinals this year (a lowly 53.0 per game on average).

James Conner has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (69.0) this season than he did last season (79.0).

The Miami defensive ends profile as the 9th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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