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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 5th-most run-focused team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.5% run rate.

In this contest, James Conner is projected by the predictive model to land in the 80th percentile among running backs with 15.5 carries.

James Conner has earned 56.8% of his offense's run game usage this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

James Conner's 75.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a remarkable progression in his rushing ability over last year's 61.0 figure.

James Conner's running efficiency (4.96 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (90th percentile when it comes to RBs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 125.3 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in football last year at blocking for rushers.

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