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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 44.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this game, James Conner is forecasted by the projection model to slot into the 78th percentile among running backs with 13.9 carries.

Out of all RBs, James Conner ranks in the 90th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 55.2% of the workload in his offense's ground game.

James Conner has run for a lot more adjusted yards per game (73.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).

James Conner's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this season represents a substantial progression in his running proficiency over last season's 4.3 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projections to run only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 9th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Arizona O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.

This year, the fierce Chicago Bears run defense has yielded a meager 81.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the best in football.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Chicago's group of LBs has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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