James Conner Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 66.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 66.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to notch 21.3 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among running backs.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (74.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.8% in games he has played).
James Conner has generated 59.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (82nd percentile).

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
The Arizona Cardinals have utilized some form of misdirection on just 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the league), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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