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James Conner

James Conner Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 15.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • James Conner has averaged 55.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the league among RBs (78th percentile).
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone up against a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • James Conner has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 64.7% of snaps vs just 53.9% last year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The New England Patriots defense owns the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, yielding just 4.21 yards-per-carry.

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