James Conner Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

James Conner Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 64.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to earn 14.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 81st percentile among running backs.
James Conner has been given 52.6% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing 5.89 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
James Conner's running efficiency (4.03 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (25th percentile among running backs).
James Conner has been among the bottom RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.57 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 11th percentile.
The Arizona Cardinals have used some form of misdirection on a lowly 34.3% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in football), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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