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James Conner

James Conner Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

James Conner Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+170/-230).

  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 9th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 45.5% red zone run rate.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to be a more important option in his offense's run game near the end zone this week (71.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.9% in games he has played).
  • James Conner has run for 0.43 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among running backs (82nd percentile).
  • The Arizona Cardinals have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line ranks as the worst in football this year at blocking for rushers.
  • The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have utilized some form of misdirection on a lowly 34.3% of their plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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