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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.

James Conner has run a route on 48.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to running backs.

The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.

James Conner's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 86.0% to 80.7%.

The Chicago Bears safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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