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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may slide.

This week, James Conner is projected by the projection model to slot into the 81st percentile among running backs with 3.6 targets.

The Arizona offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Rams pass defense has conceded the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (90.7%) to running backs this year (90.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 10th-least pass-oriented team in football (59.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 8th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a lowly 55.9 per game on average).

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