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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Carolina Panthers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-132).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.

James Conner has been used more as a potential target this year (51.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (41.5%).

The predictive model expects James Conner to accrue 4.6 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

With a terrific 2.9 adjusted catches per game (90th percentile) this year, James Conner rates as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL.

James Conner's 89.2% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a material boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 86.0% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to call the 7th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Panthers, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.6 per game) this year.

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