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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

With a remarkable 50.2% Route Participation Rate (88th percentile) this year, James Conner places as one of the pass-catching RBs with the biggest workloads in the league.

The model projects James Conner to accrue 4.0 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

James Conner profiles as one of the best pass-catching running backs this year, averaging a fantastic 2.8 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

With an excellent 87.8% Adjusted Completion% (76th percentile) this year, James Conner stands as one of the most reliable receivers in the league among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Cardinals are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their standard game plan.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their downs: the 11th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cardinals are expected by the projections to call just 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 4th-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a mere 55.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Patriots, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 32.5 per game) this year.

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