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James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-188/+142).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -188.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have averaged 35.4 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in football.The projections expect James Conner to garner 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.With a high 11.0% Target Share (86th percentile) this year, James Conner rates among the pass-game running backs with the most usage in the NFL.James Conner comes in as one of the leading running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 2.7 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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A rushing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a 3-point favorite in this game.Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 55.8% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.As far as a defense's impact on tempo, at 29.42 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals as the slowest in football (adjusted for context) right now.This year, the fierce Seahawks defense has conceded a paltry 76.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 2nd-smallest rate in the NFL.When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been excellent this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in football.
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