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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Cardinals as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Vikings defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.

This week, James Conner is projected by the predictive model to finish in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.1 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see just 126.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The Cardinals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (77.7%) to RBs this year (77.7%).

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in covering receivers.

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