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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been lousy this year, ranking as the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 57.5% pass rate.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see only 125.3 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.

James Conner's 41.5% Route% this season conveys a material reduction in his air attack utilization over last season's 61.5% figure.

In regards to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year.

James Conner's 1.9 adjusted catches per game this year indicates a significant reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.5 mark.

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