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James Conner
NFL · Player Props
James Conner
RB · Arizona Cardinals
Receptions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2023 Updated Dec 3, 2023 5:01 PM UTC
NFL Props James Conner Receptions

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

Favors Over
  • The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.
Favors Under
  • The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The model projects the Cardinals as the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • James Conner has been used less as a potential target this year (41.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.5%).
  • The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • James Conner's receiving performance has declined this year, notching just 1.7 adjusted catches compared to 3.5 last year.
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