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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Cardinals as the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

James Conner has been used less as a potential target this year (41.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.5%).

The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

James Conner's receiving performance has declined this year, notching just 1.7 adjusted catches compared to 3.5 last year.

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