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James Conner

James Conner Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

James Conner has run more routes this season (53.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (38.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Conner's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.2% to 81.8%.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (78.5%) versus RBs this year (78.5%).

The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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