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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Cincinnati Bengals

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals will be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this week's contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Cardinals are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

James Conner's 89.3% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a a substantial progression in his receiving talent over last season's 81.4% rate.

James Conner's 10.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a a meaningful improvement in his effectiveness in space over last season's 8.4% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 5.2% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 56.1% pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Cincinnati Bengals, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.

James Conner has been used less as a potential target this year (46.8% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (61.5%).

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