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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are big -12.5-point underdogs.
  • The Eagles defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in football (40.8 per game) this year.
  • In this game, James Conner is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 77th percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.5 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (58.1% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Cardinals.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are expected by the projections to run only 63.6 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • James Conner's 41.0% Route Participation% this year conveys a significant drop-off in his passing game usage over last year's 61.5% figure.
  • The Arizona offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • James Conner has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (11.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).

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