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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 2nd-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 26.17 seconds per play.

The Steelers pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 9.24 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

The model projects the Cardinals as the 8th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

James Conner has been used less as a potential target this year (41.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.5%).

James Conner has compiled a puny -2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 18th percentile among RBs.

The Cardinals O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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