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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

James Conner's 84.4% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 81.4% figure.

The Rams linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cardinals offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with head coach Jonathan Gannon now calling the plays.

Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (58.9% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Arizona Cardinals.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cardinals are forecasted by the projection model to run only 64.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.

James Conner has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (43.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.5%).

As it relates to air yards, James Conner ranks in the paltry 11th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

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