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James Conner
NFL · Player Props
James Conner
RB · Arizona Cardinals
Receiving Yards
Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 10, 2023 Updated Nov 12, 2023 8:41 PM UTC
NFL Props James Conner Receiving Yards

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • James Conner's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 81.4% to 89.6%.
  • James Conner's 10.25 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks a meaningful boost in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 8.4% figure.
  • This year, the shaky Falcons defense has been gouged for the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a staggering 6.86 yards.
Favors Under
  • The Cardinals boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 57.4% pass rate.
  • James Conner has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (40.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (61.5%).
  • James Conner has notched a mere -4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 11th percentile among running backs.
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the importance it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
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