James Conner Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 70.2 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

James Conner's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% falling off from 94.7% to 78.1%.
James Conner's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 5.45 yards-per-target compared to a 9.39 mark last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (76.2%) to RBs this year (76.2%).
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus RBs this year, allowing 4.59 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.
The Philadelphia Eagles linebackers rank as the 7th-best unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

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