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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

James Conner has been on the field for 56.3% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.

James Conner's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, compiling a measly 5.30 yards-per-target vs a 9.40 figure last year.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing RBs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 6.18 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in the league.

The Arizona Cardinals offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.34 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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