James Conner Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
James Conner has run more routes this season (53.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (38.9%).

Favors Under

James Conner has accrued a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile among RBs.
James Conner's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.2% to 81.8%.
James Conner's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 4.88 yards-per-target compared to a 8.98 figure last season.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (78.5%) versus RBs this year (78.5%).
The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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