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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup quarterback TEXT1 this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.2 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • James Conner has run more routes this season (53.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (38.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • James Conner has accrued a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile among RBs.
  • James Conner's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.2% to 81.8%.
  • James Conner's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging a mere 4.88 yards-per-target compared to a 8.98 figure last season.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (78.5%) versus RBs this year (78.5%).
  • The Denver Broncos safeties grade out as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in pass coverage.

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