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James Conner

James Conner Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

James Conner Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 63.2 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game against the New England Patriots defense this year: 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

James Conner has put up a mere -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 5th percentile among running backs.

James Conner's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.2% to 81.0%.

James Conner's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating just 5.12 yards-per-target vs a 8.98 figure last year.

The New England Patriots pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76.3%) versus RBs this year (76.3%).

The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 4th-best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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