James Conner Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 13, 2024

Updated Dec 1, 2024 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this contest, James Conner is forecasted by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 78th percentile among running backs with 14.5 rush attempts.
Out of all RBs, James Conner grades out in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 64.4% of the workload in his team's run game.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 41.0% of their plays: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to see just 126.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Cardinals have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

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