James Conner Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:11 PM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-114/-114).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 43.0% run rate.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 14.2 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
James Conner has been given 56.6% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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