James Conner Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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James Conner

NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 70.2 plays per game.
James Conner has been given 47.8% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals have gone no-huddle on 35.9% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (most in football). This quickens the pace, resulting in more volume and stat-padding.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 2nd-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best DE corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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