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James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 12.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • James Conner has received 52.8% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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