James Conner Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

James Conner

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals offense as the 4th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 25.47 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects James Conner to garner 12.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
James Conner has received 52.8% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
The Arizona Cardinals have faced a stacked the box on a mere 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Cardinals are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 10th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 37.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.
The Las Vegas Raiders have stacked the box against opponents on 21.7% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.