My Account Log Out
James Conner

James Conner Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Arizona Cardinals vs San Francisco 49ers

James Conner Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -150.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to notch 16.5 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects James Conner to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (72.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (51.0% in games he has played).
  • The Arizona Cardinals have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have gone no-huddle on 35.9% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to start backup QB Colt McCoy in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Cardinals are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™