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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Jameis Winston TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 64.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (61.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Browns.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 139.0 total plays called: the most among all games this week.

The most plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

This year, the stout Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed a feeble 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up the 4th-fewest passing TDs in the NFL: 1.00 per game this year.

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