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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints

Jameis Winston TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 59.8% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 64.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Jameis Winston's passing precision has gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 58.2% to 63.3%.

Jameis Winston has been among the leading TD passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 1.89 per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks profile as the 10th-worst group of CBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have called the 8th-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 61.3 plays per game.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's game.

Jameis Winston has attempted a measly 27.2 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile among QBs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in the league.

The Carolina Panthers defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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