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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
  • The predictive model expects Jameis Winston to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack in this week's contest (15.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played).
  • The Chargers defensive ends project as the 7th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Browns to run on 37.4% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Jameis Winston has averaged a mere 1.4 carries per game this year, one of the lowest rates in the league among quarterbacks (22nd percentile).
  • Jameis Winston has grinded out a measly 0.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football when it comes to quarterbacks (3rd percentile).
  • Jameis Winston's running efficiency (0.00 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (2nd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 108.0 per game) against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year.

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