Jameis Winston Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jameis Winston

NFL · Player Props

Jameis Winston

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 8, 2024

Updated Oct 28, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
While Jameis Winston has garnered 3.9% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a much bigger part of Cleveland's ground game in this week's contest at 12.4%.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
In totaling a measly 1.2 rush attempts per game this year, Jameis Winston ranks among the bottom quarterbacks in the league (15th percentile) when talking about running usage.
Jameis Winston has grinded out a mere 0.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest figures in the NFL among QBs (3rd percentile).

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