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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 148.3 plays on offense run: the highest number on the slate this week.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Browns this year (a massive 62.8 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 17-mph being forecasted in this game) generally mean lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

While Jameis Winston has accounted for 8.4% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Cleveland's ground game this week at 14.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -4.5-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Browns as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 21.0% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Jameis Winston's ground efficiency (3.24 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (4th percentile among quarterbacks).

Jameis Winston rates as one of the bottom quarterbacks in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 0.58 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 13th percentile.

Opposing squads have rushed for the 3rd-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 88.0 per game) vs. the Chiefs defense this year.

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