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Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.The predictive model expects Jameis Winston to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this week's game (13.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.2% in games he has played).This year, the imposing New Orleans Saints run defense has allowed a paltry 5.38 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 31st-smallest rate in the league.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, New Orleans's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.Jameis Winston has averaged a measly 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL when it comes to quarterbacks (15th percentile).With an awful record of 2.0 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (16th percentile), Jameis Winston ranks among the worst rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.Jameis Winston comes in as one of the weakest QBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a lowly 0.38 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 12th percentile.
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