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Jameis Winston
NFL · Player Props
Jameis Winston
QB · New Orleans Saints
Rushing Yards
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC
NFL Props Jameis Winston Rushing Yards

Jameis Winston Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -160.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jameis Winston to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack this week (9.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (4.5% in games he has played).
  • Jameis Winston has generated 21.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (78th percentile).
  • Jameis Winston's ground effectiveness (6.42 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (83rd percentile among quarterbacks).
  • Jameis Winston has been among the best quarterbacks in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.68 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 94th percentile.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jameis Winston to total 2.4 carries in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.
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