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Jameis Winston

Jameis Winston Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Jameis Winston Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 241.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 239.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 241.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
  • In this week's contest, Jameis Winston is predicted by the projections to average the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.8.
  • Jameis Winston has thrown for significantly more adjusted yards per game (87.0) this season than he did last season (45.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Opposing offenses have thrown for the 8th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 208.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Chargers defense this year.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Chargers defense has yielded the 10th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing offenses: a meager 7.4 yards.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of CBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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