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Jameis Winston Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 221.5 (-175/+135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 222.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 221.5 @ +135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.In this game, Jameis Winston is predicted by our trusted projection set to have the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.6.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.With a terrible tally of 23.0 adjusted passing yards per game (6th percentile), Jameis Winston stands as one of the weakest quarterbacks in football this year.Jameis Winston profiles as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with a 51.6% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 10th percentile.As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's group of CBs has been one of the most skilled this year, ranking as the 8th-best in the league.
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